Wednesday, April 24, 2024
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Peter Klein, CFA

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Peter Klein, CFA, is director of advanced markets and underwriting at Secor Advisors Group, LLC, with more than 25 years of experience in life products, wealth management, estate and retirement planning. Klein started his career with Travelers Insurance Company in private placements and portfolio management. During his tenure at Travelers, he attended life insurance school, receiving extensive training in life insurance products. He has advised corporations on keyman policies, corporate COLI plans, and premium finance–including comprehensive policy reviews. For the last several years, Klein has provided consulting services to life insurance general agencies and independent marketing organizations. He holds two graduate degrees, an MS in science and an MBA from the University of Connecticut. Klein can be reached by telephone at 317-414-1205. Email: peterk711@gmail.com.

Why Clients Need Our Help

To build a retirement fund, you only need to do three simple things: Make money, save money, and invest money. It all sounds so simple, and yet, the average net worth of a baby boomer (the post‐World War II generation, ages 58+) is less than $210,000, according to Business Insider. Baby boomers seemingly had many advantages. They grew up in the wealthiest and most advanced country in the world—a center for scientific and engineering innovation that houses the world’s reserve currency and offers up a plentiful supply of resources to power up an ever‐growing and expanding economy. So did boomers not think about the future, or were they lacking the proper advice and support in planning for retirement?

Most financial professionals know intent isn’t enough; it takes a disciplined investment approach. But for many individuals, the difference between (and importance of) investing versus just saving may not be entirely clear. Consequently, offering financial planning services requires acting both as an advisor and as a salesperson. Since investment services and products are intangible and prospective in outcome, it inevitably involves some selling.

Financial service advisors often don’t like being perceived as salespeople. At the heart of their discomfort is the face‐to‐face sales conversation, which many financial professionals feel is laced with subjective overtones, bordering on the unprofessional. They want to be trusted, and yet they feel that selling detracts from the trust they worked so hard to create and earn. The typical client is only marginally knowledgeable about the investment process. This can create a situation of opposing perspectives—the client is fearful of being disadvantaged, or worse, being bamboozled, while the salesperson is afraid of being rejected. Both can hinder the process of providing the needed expert financial advice.

Life is a Challenge
From the client perspective, their lives are complex, demanding, balancing family, career, job and obligations including home mortgage, vacations, cars for their teenage kids, college expenses leaving retirement funding in the distant future. It may seem that no matter what plans are made, life is asymmetrical, non‐linear, making it difficult to implement a sustainable plan.

We humans think of ourselves as being above animals, and yet we share many animal traits, including instinctive behaviors developed for survival. We are hard-wired to avoid loss when comfortable but scramble madly when catastrophe strikes. Plus, many of us encompass internally contradictory values and drives, with layers of beliefs that underlie our behavior. So we may say one thing but do the opposite.

Temptations Abound
Evolving technologies designed to cater to every need and want of consumers have converged over the last ten years. Amazon, Uber, Drizly (alcohol delivery), Grubhub (meal delivery), Airbnb, Apple just to name a few have come to the fore catering to the needs and whims of consumers. Amazon can deliver most orders overnight. Drizly can deliver alcohol the same day as ordered. Uber can chauffeur you wherever you want to go in almost every continent in the world. All it takes is loading an app on your smartphone.

To complicate matters, we have witnessed the wholesale legalization of vices, including psychoactive drugs, aka cannabis or marijuana, gambling (lottery and sports betting), dating, sex, and porn sites, while an increasing number of woke district attorneys have made it clear that they won’t charge certain crimes. The problem with vices is that they are inherently addictive, and addictions strike when we are trying to mask or soothe or escape from whatever makes us uncomfortable.

If reality is too much, we can now escape to the metaverse, a virtual world of fantasy and online gaming, or we can actually escape by scheduling a trip with the many travel sites that will whisk you away to a world of travel and adventure possible following in the footsteps of some historic or mythic figures.

We can experience pleasure without delay, scratch any itch, compulsion, or impulse. These services are only a simple keystroke away from the comfort of your own home. Never in the history of mankind have we been exposed to such a comprehensive set of services that are able to cater to our every whim!

Instant gratification is the opposite of what most of us have been taught. We have been told to try to practice delayed gratification. But we humans are hardwired to want things now. Waiting is hard, and there is an innate desire to have what we want when we want it. In a world of instant gratification, it’s a real challenge to sacrifice spending today for a distant, nebulous future.

The Tyranny of the Treasure Hoard
Let’s say a client can amass substantial liquid wealth before retirement. Given the incredible sustained growth of the stock market over the last 14 years, it’s not uncommon for people in their 40s to have accumulated balances of half a million or more in their 401k accounts. When a Viking leader won treasure from one of his raids, he would secretly bury his treasure hoard. We know this because treasure hunters have been uncovering such hoards buried across the English countryside with some frequency. But alas most Viking warriors didn’t get to live to a ripe old age taking their secrets with them. The realization that one has accumulated wealth beyond their dreams can be tempting. It can trigger impulse purchases such as that dreamed of RV. Or it can lead to aggressive investing by swinging for the fences in a go for broke approach by concentrating investments in higher growth stocks in the quest of early retirement.

With the demise of defined benefit plans, most clients are forced to rely on their defined contribution plan. The problem is that it requires considerable discipline, restraint, and self-control to accumulate a critical mass of dollars. The temptation to spend money to fund current so-called needs at the expense of a hazy, nebulous future can be irresistible.

Corporations are Aware of their Own Executives’ Vulnerabilities
When I was an executive at a bank, it was fairly common even for ranking bank executives to find themselves unable to meet their loan obligations, which were afforded them under very generous terms by their bank employer. The tendency to live beyond one’s means can be overwhelming.

Even large corporations offer free financial advisory support services to their executives. These executives typically represent the best and brightest with great business acumen and understanding of markets, and yet with all their success they still need the aid of a financial advisor. We live in the age of specialization. It’s highly unlikely that the typical civilian on their own can achieve their financial goals. Even investment experts have problems keeping up with information overflow. The Internet creates streams of data 24 hours a day. The problem is how do you distinguish between the overwhelming noise and misinformation from the essential facts. The typical amateur’s investment style is more akin to Vegas than meticulous long-term investing. It usually devolves into chasing the latest craze in high growth investments ranging from speculative small-cap high growth stocks or chasing the newest class of assets—cryptocurrency.

Prospective clients suffer from over confidence. In the absence of a compelling sales pitch, most prospective clients think that they can handle this alone. They overestimate their ability to judge stock prices. An example of that is “anchoring” the value of a beaten down company by the much higher price it used to trade at when it still has a lot further to fall.

At the root of the problem is not having a financial plan that is integrated with the client’s lifestyle. Just like the perpetual dieter who never succeeds in losing weight on a permanent basis, an individual without a financial plan integrated with their lifestyle is doomed in their attempts to achieve a sustainable retirement plan. A dieter may succeed in losing weight in the short term only to see all come back in the long term.

Selecting a Financial Planner
A broad range of wealth management advisory services have evolved in the last decade, but all appropriate wealth management firms share a common trait of separating money management services from custodial services. Traditional wirehouses which have historically dominated such as Morgan Stanley are structured to offer trading desks, market making, inventorying stocks and bonds, and corporate finance services. Typically, they do not have a fiduciary obligation to their clients. These firms have now been segregated into two broad categories: Traditional trading investment services and self-directed low-cost trading services with concentration in custodial services—such as Schwab and Fidelity.

Another broad categorization of firms is based on fee structure. Most small boutique investment management firms offering tailored portfolios for their clients are typically fee only. They are usually staffed with highly credentialed managers that hold advanced degrees, MBAs and JDs, and professional designations such as CFA, CLU, or CFP. These firms avoid trading desks, market making, inventorying stocks and bonds, and corporate finance to avoid conflicts of interest.

In the last decade, new robo investment firms have formed such as Betterment. These firms have invested in technology to automate investment allocations and are designed for low fees and offer end to end online user-friendly transparent reporting.

Either way the investor benefits by having the ability to exercise a broad range of choices, but one factor that should be prioritized. Firms that offer access to highly credentialed support staff is a plus. Professional designations such as CFA or CFP or CLU signify trained knowledgeable staff that focus on offering objective advice rather than salesmanship.

How Financial Advisors Help
The need for a highly credentialed advisor and life agent is paramount. For a client to have any chance of succeeding in their long-term investment goals, there has to be significant buy-in to have any staying power with the client. The advisor has to work with the client in forging fundamental underpinnings in the construct of a financial plan. The plan needs to be structured to be incorporated as part of a client’s lifestyle of saving and spending. This requires extensive multi-disciplinary knowledge on the part of the advisor and examination of the client’s situation. The basis of the plan should incorporate a comprehensive understanding of the client’s risk profile, work and income timeframe, personal customized longevity expectations, long-term personal goals and expectations, and family obligations and commitments.

A qualified advisor can assist a client in staying the course and living by their financial plan. Even when the market corrects drastically, it’s up to the advisor to keep his client from stampeding. As we discussed, life can be challenging but in life every individual will be confronted by the same shared 35 critical life decisions, such as home purchase, death in the family, estate planning, divorce and so on. Many of these decisions can cast a long shadow over a client’s life since they tend to be consequential. It’s at these times clients will need a second opinion. Having access to a highly credentialed advisor is essential in facilitating better decision making and the realization of a client’s financial plan, since financial advisors have the tools to overcome these obstacles and help clients create a plan for their future.

You Have Two Ages, Chronological And Biological—And How They Differ Matters!

We’ve all met someone who appears to be much younger-or older-than they really are. Essentially, everyone has two ages: A chronological age, and a phenotypic or biological age. Chronological age refers to the actual amount of time a person has been alive, or how old the calendar says you are through years that have passed since your birth date. Biological age, on the other hand, refers to how old a person seems. Your biological age, aka physiological age, takes into account beneficial family DNA and history, as well as lifestyle factors including diet, exercise, and sleeping habits, to name a few. This is the age of how your body functions compared to average fitness and health levels.

How we age biologically is partly due to nature (genetics) and partly under our control. While genetics is an important factor, recent research sheds light on how aging can be impacted by external factors, including stress and smoking. Smoking can be incredibly damaging to a person’s health which is why it is so important to quit. One of my friends was talking to me just the other day about how people are now using vaping as a stop smoking aid. If you are looking for a new way to stop smoking, Juul starter kits contain everything you need to make the transition from cigarettes to vaping. Furthermore, this is why many gerontologists believe chronological age to be an incomplete figure. Since this type of numerical age doesn’t take external factors into consideration, it’s not as likely to accurately represent overall wellbeing. The graph opposite illustrates mortality ranges compared to the calendar age curve.

A Tale of Two Celebrities
We age at different rates, and so people of the same chronological age aren’t all at the same risk of developing cardiovascular disease or cancer or even death. What biological age does is give us a better perspective of relative age.

In 1959, Hollywood screen legend Errol Flynn, age 50, came to Vancouver to finalize the sale of his 118-foot luxury yacht. After starring in over 45 pictures, he was broke and his new movie was a flop. He was in trouble with the IRS and had a succession of ex-wives demanding back alimony.

Chain-smoking Flynn offered up an endless supply of gossip and anecdotes to his Vancouver fans. His stories included dodging shellfire during the Spanish Civil War and hanging out with rebel leader Fidel Castro. Eighteen years before, Flynn tried to enlist during World War II but was rejected. Four-F, due to several ailments including venereal disease, enlarged heart and a benign lung tumor. This was in stark contrast to the image he projected as a trim, athletic, swashbuckling figure.

During his Vancouver visit a massive heart attack laid him on a Canadian autopsy table, which revealed a body ravaged from the excesses of drinking, smoking and drug use. Flynn died from heart failure, but his other organs were so shot that the coroner ruled his death due to “natural causes.” His Vancouver hosts would later say they were shocked at Flynn’s haggard, bloated appearance.

Errol Flynn died early compared to his chronological age. His biological age was dramatically shortened by his behavior, including abusing drugs such as cocaine that causes tremendous damage to the abuser’s heart.

At the other end of the spectrum, Tony Bennett’s longevity and active career is the stuff of legend. The son of an Italian immigrant grocer, Anthony Benedetto was born in 1926 in Astoria, Queens, NYC. As an artist, singer and entertainer his career has spanned almost 70 years. This year, at the age of 92, Tony Bennett released a new album, a duet with a much younger talent, Diana Krall, entitled, Love is Here to Stay.

Given his Mediterranean descent, Tony may well be a good example of people linked to what is referred to as a “Blue Zone.” A group of scientists, researching longevity, studied small isolated populations where a surprisingly large number of men routinely live to 100 years or more. They called these sites “Blue Zones,” (also the title of their book).

One of these sites is the island of Sardinia. They discovered a village atop of one of the mountains where a disproportionate percentage of men lived to 100 years or older. In their book, they discuss Sardinian men whose temperament allowed them to shed stress. Other factors include genetics, lifestyle, diet and nutrition, and social structures. They also found certain shared values, such as reverence for family, which was one of the more important elements in their lives.

Determining True Biological Age
Now this comparison is probably an over exaggeration but it does make the point. In the future, medical advances will allow for better control of biological aging; a higher chronological age may not deem to represent the same setbacks as experienced today. Research has shown that telomeres play a major role in the aging process. Telomeres keep the ends of chromosomes from deteriorating and fusing with a nearby chromosome. Essentially, telomeres dictate how quickly cells age and die, and the higher a person’s chronological age, the shorter their telomeres. Consequently, people with shorter telomeres (due to DNA methylation) were more likely to have an early death or develop a disease or neurodegenerative disorder. Scientists speculate DNA methylation can be a determining factor in biological aging, while studies suggest that maintaining a healthy lifestyle can actually reverse aging by lengthening telomeres.

There are quite a few ways on how you could control yourself from looking older. For instance, take a look at multi action sculpting cream reviews as anti-aging creams and lotions could be a sure-fire way to make yourself look a bit younger! Losing skin elasticity and wrinkles along with the dullness of the skin could lead you to look older than you actually are. For this reason, many tend to choose supplements that help replenish our body’s natural collagen supply. Dietary collagen supplement like Dermal Repair Complex could go a long way to combat signs of aging and improve the appearance of your skin. There are anti-aging physicians and specialized companies who can clinically test you to provide some measure of biological aging. Here are some tests you can conduct in your own home:

Skin elasticity: Lay your hand down on a desk or table, palm down. Pinch the skin at the back of your hand for five seconds. Let go and time how long it takes your skin to go back to its smooth appearance. When young, it should snap back immediately. An average 45-year-olds’ skin will take 3–5 seconds. At age 60, it takes about 10–15 seconds on average. By 70, it usually takes 35–60 seconds to crawl back. So if you are 60 and it takes 3–5 seconds, this test indicates your biological age is closer to 45.

Reaction time: Reaction time is another indicator of biological age. It involves catching a ruler and measuring the distance it takes.

Static balance: Testing for how many seconds you can stand on one foot without opening your eyes or moving your supporting foot. Seconds scored compared to time ranges age groupings provides relative performance.

Vital lung capacity: Measuring length of time you can hold your breath, compared against age related ranges.

(You can get a detailed list and explanation of biological age tests from this and other websites: https://ieet.org/index.php/IEET/more/kekich20150521.)

Recent studies have shown that genetics (DNA) only accounts for 25 to 35 percent biological aging impact, while other studies suggest it’s greater than 35 percent-so the rest is up to us. We can now measure biological age objectively from simple blood tests. It’s not precise, but it does give you a measure of how effective your anti-aging program may be. Bio-markers, including blood sugar, kidney and liver, and immune and inflammatory levels (e.g. C Reactive Protein) can provide additional perspective. People with a low biological age are less likely to develop diseases associated with higher chronological age. The great feature of these tests is that, unlike genetic testing results, doctors can take bio-markers information to provide feedback and empower patients to make changes in lifestyle, diet, exercise, and sleep habits to improve their baseline biological age. They can also recommend medication changes, such as the nad+ supplement or other similar medications to help ease these processes.

Carrier Underwriting and Biological Age
A majority of my advanced underwriting cases involve men, including some very successful hard charging executives. They typically have a greater disparity between their biological age compared to their chronological age. These men live under great stress, don’t acknowledge their medical vulnerability, and often don’t follow the advice of their doctor, and so are more likely to experience a shorter biological age compared to chronological years.

Recently, life insurance companies have bolstered their underwriting capabilities. They are very good at getting a clear portrait of who they will insure-and that means looking at the applicant from every angle to determine life insurance premiums. Underwriters look at lifestyle, occupation, medical record, family history, financial history, and driving records to determine an applicant’s risk class and appropriate charge for life insurance coverage.

Effectively, life insurance underwriting can provide a means to evaluate the executive’s biological age compared to chronological age. For an insured, being told that his biological age varies from his chronological age is different from being told that his premium is more expensive or cheaper by being in a preferred class.

I have used the underwriting process to conduct a biological age evaluation for certain clients. The typical civilian has no perspective about their longevity. They tend to be either too optimistic, ignoring warning signs, or they are fatalistic about their long-term health. By using information collected in combination with using specialized labs in California to test for markers, I can provide a client a better perspective on their biological age.

Alternatively, individuals whose biological age are lower could be offered insurance products with incentives to change their lifestyle habits for the better. There are now several carriers that offer product pricing that incents the insured, linking premiums to exercise. The insured agrees to be measured by Fitbit tracking devices to facilitate the remote measurement of exercise and conditioning, as technology makes it easier to assess individual health. The insured’s participation and cooperation can lead to substantially lower premium charges.

Using Your Biological Age for Retirement Planning
Most people plan how much they’ll spend in retirement based on their chronological age or use their parent’s lifespan to estimate their longevity. With advances in medicine, a person’s true age doesn’t move in lockstep with calendar time.

Retirement plans should focus on biological life expectancy (LE). How much of a client’s assets should be allocated to generating guaranteed income streams, versus how much should be allocated to long term investments such as stocks and bonds, is the first part of a two-fold assessment. A person with a long LE may elect to rely to a greater degree on annuities which can provide a source of income that cannot be outlived. Plus, annuities offer a further advantage in allowing income earned to be accumulated tax free.

Basic daily expenses can better be secured by utilizing annuities in combination with social security payments. Using annuities, a guaranteed cash flow investment product, to meet basic needs allows an investor to take a less conservative approach to investing the remaining assets. Another potential benefit of an annuity is it can be made judgment proof in case of legal disputes with creditors, although this will depend on your state of residency and the length of time you own the annuity. For someone dependent upon investment income from a sum of money this could be an important feature. Moreover, tax deferred annuities can bypass probate proceedings and go directly to named beneficiaries without any cost or delay.

Furthermore, life expectancy can assist a financial advisor in properly assessing all of the client’s assets, including life insurance policies, which in some cases can be sold to more efficiently allocate a client’s assets toward guaranteed cash flow while eliminating premium expenses. The combination of selling a negative cash flowing asset while using the proceeds to generate positive cash flow creates a dramatic cash flow swing factor for the good.

Third Party Use of Biological Versus Calendar Age Differences
I have also done biological assessments for third parties. For example, commercial lenders rely heavily on the operating CEO to meet their debt obligations and loan covenant requirements. The sudden or untimely death of a CEO can be devastating to the future of a company and its ability to repay debt.

For company boards as well as creditors, this is vital information in determining credit risk and succession risk.

Conclusion
Advances in science and medicine offer the opportunity to live longer and, in some cases, significantly longer. But this is largely available to people who are disciplined, have an objective understanding of their family medical history, know how to access a passive healthcare system, and are able to engage their medical care providers to offer an organized preventive care program.

A good illustration of this is Prince Philip, Queen Elizabeth’s husband. At age 97, he is the longest-serving royal consort in history. His recent health-related issues include a respiratory infection in 2017, a pre-planned hip replacement in 2018, and, prior to that, he had a coronary stent installed. But he continues to be an active sportsman, including hunting, fishing and horse carriage driving.

With no signs of any major medical problems, you may wonder how good Prince Philip’s genes are? Prince Philip’s father, Prince Andrew of Greece and Denmark, died in 1944 at age 62, living in exile in Monte Carlo. His mother, Princess Alice of Battenberg, passed away in 1969 at age 84. The prince had four siblings, all sisters, and three passed away from natural causes at ages 63, 76, and 87. (The fourth died in a tragic plane crash at age 26.) He has outlived all family members.

The insurance industry has witnessed consistent improvement in mortality factors from VBT 2008 tables to VBT 2015 tables. Alternatively, we are seeing a drop in average US lifespans over the last several years, not because we’re hitting a cap in lifespans for people in their 80s, rather, younger generations in their 20s and 30s are dying more frequently. The audience for life insurance represents a distinct group of people different from the population at large. People who are responsible enough to get coverage are also more likely to be responsible in managing their health and personal affairs.

We must learn to differentiate between relative age versus calendar age. It’s not just how many birthdays you’ve celebrated. Only then can we make the right decisions for our financial future, and that of our loved ones. We need to realize we have more control over our wellbeing and longevity than ever before and should celebrate the prospects of living like centenarians around the globe.

David Rockefeller, the philanthropist, billionaire, and chairman and executive of Chase Manhattan Corporation, passed away on March 21, 2017.

Rockefeller died in his sleep in his suburban home in Pocantico, New York. He was the last living grandchild of Standard Oil co-founder, John D. Rockefeller. David became the guardian of his family’s fortune and expanded his business to both family, business, and philanthropy.

David underwent six heart transplants. His first heart transplant was in 1976 after suffering a heart attack following a car accident. He was 99 years old at the time of his sixth heart transplant.

David Rockefeller died at age 101.

Why Policyholders Need To Consult With An Insurance Specialist

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The days of buying a life insurance policy, paying the same annual premium, and putting the policy away in a safe deposit box are over. There are two converging factors leading to greater uncertainty in the retention of long-standing life insurance policies. 

Life expectancies used to project policy performance have proven to be too short.
First, people are living longer.  In some cases, a lot longer.  Advances in medicine, including preventive care and new treatments for heart disease, have combined to change the leading cause of death from heart disease to cancer. Decades ago, most insureds dismissed the prospect of living to age 100. Consequently, most policies purchased were only illustrated to run to age 85 or 88 based on a woefully inadequate funding scenario.

Carriers are unilaterally raising premiums on policies sold decades ago.
The second factor is that major insurance carriers are breaking a long-standing tradition by raising rates on life insurance policies that were sold to consumers decades ago. This is a fallout from prolonged low interest rates. A review of historical interest rates shows that one has to go back to post-war 1950s to see interest rates at this level.   

Industry analysts say most insurers have cut expenses and taken numerous steps to manage profitability over the years, but now they are running out of options. Since insurance companies don’t get to pocket the premium paid to them, carriers rely on the earned investment income from premiums collected. Unfortunately, years of low interest rates have squeezed investment income which has pressured carriers to improve their margins. This means that, with certain products, some people in their 70s and 80s are facing substantially higher charges for their life insurance purchased decades ago. The escalation in charges could be just the beginning, with higher charges for potentially millions of Americans on certain types of policies. In some cases, the combination of escalating premiums with the realization that the insured could live to age 100 or beyond has resulted in a capitulation by some policyholders and an increase in lapse rates.

How Do Carriers Get Away with Escalating Insurance Costs?
The short answer is they don’t. Carriers must gain approval from each state’s department of insurance for products offered. This is both expensive and time-consuming. The products have designated CSO tables referenced in their contracts that provide maximum allowed mortality charges. Typically, the carrier only charges a fraction of the table’s annual mortality charges. In recent years, carriers have opted to charge a higher percentage of CSO table rates, and their right to increase rates is clearly disclosed to customers in policy agreements. In some case, I have seen carriers double the percentage of mortality cost used in determining their monthly deductions—even for policies that have been in force for decades.

Primary Life Products Impacted
There are two broad categories of permanent life insurance products: Whole life and universal life. The original permanent policy was whole life, or “straight life.”  This obligates policyholders to pay premiums typically to age 100 at which point it endows.

As graphically illustrated (in chart 1) the policy owner pays a level premium (illustrated by the flat black line) where the cash value at maturity (illustrated by the green line) is equal to the death benefit. The red line shows the contour of the Common Standard Ordinary (CSO) table rates associated with the product’s mortality cost. The red line steepens dramatically at age 80 and beyond as mortality risks grow substantially. 

In the mid to late 1970s, a new generation of policy known as universal life (UL) came to the market. For a permanent policy, this product offered a lower, more efficient, premium obligation relative to the size of the death benefit.  However, it came with some risk since the endowment guarantees were not there, and the policyholder had to accept  mortality and interest earnings risks.  Consequently, these policies required illustrations based on funding scenarios determined by the agent and client.  These assumptions became even more refined by assuming a finite number of level-premium payments with the policy’s future monthly deductions being paid from a steady drain on the life insurance savings account or cash value.

Decades ago these policies used interest rates of six to eight percent, considerably higher than the rates guaranteed in the contract. It was assumed the insured would live to 85 or 88, at which point he only needed minimal cash value present in the account. These assumptions allowed for relatively economical premium payments. It is for these reasons that you typically see UL policies used when a large face value is required, such as in key man policies or in substantial estates.

While UL policies do not technically endow in the sense that whole life policies do, they require routine monitoring and timely re-evaluation.

Over the years multiple types and generations of UL products have evolved. A typical current assumption UL product can be illustrated (see chart 2). In this ideal scenario the insured lives to approximately age 85 and historical interest rates of six percent or better prevail. Low level premiums are consistently paid from a buildup in cash value and decline to zero at age 85 when the policy’s death benefit is realized. 

Alternatively, if the insured lives to policy maturity the UL policy will pay out only the cash value remaining. (Depending on the contract, the maturity date might be age 95, or 100, or even 110.) Assuming the client has a $1 million policy and lives to age 100 with a cash value of $300,000 he then gets a check for $300,000, while anything over tax basis would be taxed at ordinary rates.

Certain types of guaranteed policies can take the cash value at maturity and extend it as the new death benefit, while some guaranteed policies allow the full benefit to stay in force until death regardless of age.  A typical guaranteed policy’s maturity is more likely to extend to age 112, 118, or even 120, but the client has to choose how long to fund it.  Another benefit of guaranteed policies is that the premium can be locked in for the extended maturity date. Yet once the guarantee is lost due to late payment, premiums are free to escalate.  I have witnessed annual premiums doubling or tripling in such cases.

Life Expectancy
Understanding the insured’s life expectancy (LE) is essential in determining if the policy is guaranteed beyond LE and whether the policy is economical. Estimating how long the insured will live requires considerable study, but there are firms that specialize in estimating life expectancies using algorithms based on 40 years of history in scoring LEs and tracking subsequent death outcomes. Of course, an LE’s accuracy is contingent on the law of large numbers, involving portfolios of 200 or more lives. Since we are dealing with the life of one individual, it reduces accuracy substantially. Nevertheless, the exercise provides a relative perspective on longevity compared to that individual’s specific peer group. 

The customized mortality table produced by an LE report gives probabilities of death at different ages. We can apply these probabilities against updated and revised projected premiums modeled for the policy to calculate relative returns.

Policy Options and Tax Considerations
Timing is of the essence in developing alternative solutions for a client. You have to have sufficient lead time given the client’s budget constraints. Even if the policy is auto loaning its premium payments, the amount of available cash value is finite. Further, the insured’s underwriting status of standard or better is also finite. The client needs to rationalize their budget and their ability to cover future escalations in premiums.

The tax consequence of making changes or cancelling a life insurance policy cannot be ignored. The presence of cash value complicates things; the difference in tax basis versus cash value will result in taxable income in the event of terminating a policy.

Alternatively, in the event the client elects to sell the policy in the secondary market, the amount the third party pays the policyholder for the policy up to the cost basis is tax free and any additional money up to the cash surrender value is treated as ordinary income. Any value in excess of the cash surrender value is taxed as capital gain. A simple matrix illustrating the various options and outcomes is provided in the table seen below. The options available to a policyholder are numerous and complicated from the perspective of an insurance specialist. Therefore, policyholders who are left to their own devices are likely to disadvantage themselves.

The Importance of a Policy Review
Most clients have minimal understanding of their policy. They may not even know which type of policy they own. The combination of escalating premiums with changes in longevity requires a routine review of UL policies. Educating the insured and their financial professionals can often result in a timely call to action. 

Most clients’ financial lives are based on a tightly scripted budget, and any change in the trajectory of future expenses can have a profound consequence.

To be competitive, carriers typically assume lower future operating expenses and higher interest rates in generating illustrations at the time of sale. Consequently, the base case is always the most optimistic in projected outcome. The reality is that the original illustration will likely fall short. The question is to what degree?

From annual statements agents can determine the current revised monthly deductions compared to the monthly deductions charged in the past. Sometimes we can approximate the percentage of CSO table rates being charged and the potential for escalation. A policy review can produce new illustrations to help clients better understand the trajectory of the cost of insurance and potential rate increases. With the right analysis and planning, a client’s policy can continue to work in his best interests. They key is to act now, before it’s too late.